REASONS?
There are a ton of reasons. Let me enumerate some:
1. Age — The age difference between Trump and Biden is negligible, and can easily be dealt with by Biden by referencing Trump’s numerous incoherent remarks. But the age difference between Biden and Haley is obviously far greater and will become a negative campaign issue for Biden. Haley is already exploiting it her stump speeches and voter interviews show some are buying it. Unlike policy issues which are subjective and can be debated, age is objective, it is what it is. It will be tough for Biden to argue that younger is not better. Also, any minor gaffe by Biden will be immediately exploited by Haley as part of the age problem. To make matters worse, the media will undoubtedly pile on, pointing out the negative aspects of Biden’s age and ignoring the fact that Biden’s positions on the issues that matter are more inline with younger voters than Haley’s positions.
2. Polls — No, I’m not one for polls. Their recent track record against actual results is poor, especially in close races. But when poll after poll consistently shows a tight race between Biden and Trump, while showing Haley beating Biden by around 5 points both nationally and in the battleground states, we would be fools to poo-poo such results as meaningless.
On the brighter side of recent polling, we have this result as posted on Friday’s APR. Via the Messenger: Biden’s internal polling of what the campaign considers vital swing voters in Battleground States show that 75% of them DON’T believe Trump will be the GOP nominee. I find this to be significant for two reasons. The first is if Haley somehow ends up to be the nominee, a good and maybe a decisive share of these votes will vote for her based on the age issue and swallowing her BS that she is a “moderate”. The second, as in on the other hand, if Trump wins the nomination, the vast majority’ if not almost all of these swing voters will cast their ballot for Biden in November, since they are likely all scared of another Trump presidency.
Also, I have seen polls that Trump loses 6% of voters to Biden if Trump gets convicted, and nationally 52% of voters say Trump should not be on State ballots due to his participation in the insurrection. Both are good signs for Biden if Trump is the nominee.
3. A Haley Presidency — Now I’m not going to argue that a Haley presidency would be worse than a Trump presidency. While Haley would be bad for the country, a Trump presidency could end our democracy. So they are not on the same level of awful. But what I will argue is that while Trump is a wolf in wolf’s clothing, Haley is a wolf in sheep’s clothing, from a policy perspective that is. While some voters will see her as a “moderate”, she is not. For example, on abortion she favors a national ban, anywhere from 6 to 15 weeks depending on the crowd she is appealing to. At best an Haley Presidency will result in the current patchwork of awful forced birth laws in the States, at worst we are looking at some sort of national abortion ban.
Also, let’s not forget she has the backing of the Koch Brothers and other Dark Money upper one percenters. Which means she is beholden to making the rich richer at the expense of the rest of us. How bad a Haley presidency would be ranges from at worst, further conservative backsliding on social and economic issues, to at best, 4 years of stagnation, depending on which Party controls Congress.
4. Coattails — In terms of down ballot races in purple States and Districts, who is on top of the ticket could make a significant difference. If that person is Haley, it will make it easier for GOP candidates in these States/Districts to track to the middle and attract Independent voters. So Haley would have positive coattails making it harder for us to win races in swing states/districts. On the other hand Trump will have coattails too. Let’s call them negative coattails. GOP down ballot candidates in purple states/districts will have a hard time walking a fine line to make sure they still can get Republican MAGA voters while trying to separate themselves from Trump to win over the Independents they will need to win. Even if they were not MAGA, they will be constantly hounded by the press and their rivals as to whether they support Trump, the man on the top of the ticket. However they answer they will lose either Republicans or Independents, and if they try to dodge the question they will likely lose both.
So Trump on top of the ticket increases our chances of down ballot victories in purple States/Districts.
5. The Courts — What is the most important issue in any presidential race that gets the least amount of attention from the candidates and voters? We all know it’s the Federal Courts. Not only the Supreme Court where momentous decisions are made that will effect the country for generations, but also the lower courts where thousands of important decisions are made that effect our lives which don’t get to the SCOTUS level. Maybe after seeing what was done to abortion rights in this country, voters will pay more attention to the court issue than in previous elections. One can hope.
Since Haley is the one candidate bought and paid for by the Upper 1% crowd, we can be certain that over the 4 years (or maybe 8 years) she will use every possible SCOTUS vacancy to maintain or expand the Conservative majority. Furthermore, she will fill the back bench of the Federal Courts with more Conservative judges. She will cement the conservatives hold on both the upper and lower courts for generations, and further advance their agenda of economic inequality as well as imposing conservative social and religious values on the rest of us.
Now I’m sure there are more reasons why we want to run against Trump and not Haley, but let me stop here since I have to stop somewhere. But before I sign off, let me leave you with a couple thoughts. One is on the upcoming New Hampshire Primary and the other is an observation that might be a weird conspiracy theory.
New Hampshire Primary — The New Hampshire Primary is a strange bird in that it is one of the few GOP Primaries that allows non-Republicans to participate. Democrats can change Party status to vote in the Republican Primary on or before October 6, 2023, and apparently around 4000 have done so, presumably with the intention of voting against Trump. More significantly, Independents can just walk in and vote in the GOP Primary and it is expected thousands will, again presumably to vote against Trump. Both Independents and converted Democrats presumably intend to vote for Haley in an effort to try to nip the would be Dictator in the bud. To these folks all I have to say is:
NO, NO, NO!
Granted voting for Haley in the NH Primary is the lesser of two evils, but why vote for any evil? I get it, you want to take down Trump, but do you really want to help facilitate a President Haley? Not a good idea for all of the reasons I posted above. If your goal is taking down Trump, then turn out in the general election and vote for Biden, don’t help Haley. Don’t just think about what you’re voting against, consider what you are voting for!
So either stay home, or if you really want to vote against Trump in the NH Primary, vote for DeSantis or any other candidate on the ballot except Haley.
Weird Conspiracy Theory-
If you’re a MAGA person, please don’t read any further because you probably will believe it.
Are the MAGA folks gone yet?
Good!
Now let me tell you about the Democrats’ Master Plan that we see unfolding before our eyes.
First, in order to insure that Trump would be competitive in the Republican Primary, we held off prosecuting him until 2023. That way Trump was designated as the Republican front runner before something like a felony conviction could make GOP voters look for another candidate.
Second, we manipulated all the polling to show Trump either beating or in a virtual tie with Biden in order to make GOP Primary voters think that Trump may actually be able to beat Biden in November. This helped insure that he will be the nominee.
Third, we have made sure that at least one of the various court cases times out so that Trump is convicted after he has wrapped up the GOP nomination but before the November general election. This way the GOP will be stuck with a convicted felon as a Presidential candidate. No matter how crazy our politics get, having a convicted felon as your candidate is not a winning formula.
Fourth, to further insure a Biden victory in November, Democrats use the 14th Amendment to get Trump removed from as many State ballots as possible before November.
Now of course this is not a Democratic conspiracy, but so far the timing of events appears to be heading in a direction most favorable to our side. Just coincidence I guess.